30+ Years of Lessons Learned in Clinical Trials and Biomarkers

700 Publications and 25+ Years of Research – Lessons for Today’s Clinical Studies

We are excited to invite you to a unique session in the ECM Pharmacology Symposium series, featuring a special presentation by Dr. Morten Karsdal, the Chair of the ECM Pharmacology Congress. This webinar will take us on a journey through 25 years of groundbreaking research and over 700 publications, highlighting how these insights can be applied in today’s clinical studies to improve patient outcomes.

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ECM remodeling is a fundamental driver of more than 50 chronic diseases, contributing to over 35% of deaths in the Western world. To restore organ function, we must understand and quantify ECM turnover—a crucial step in advancing patient care.

In this webinar, Dr. Karsdal will highlight the most influential findings from global collaborations and his own research, focusing on the balance between tissue formation and degradation in both healthy and diseased organs. With three letters of support from the FDA over the past three years emphasizing ECM biomarkers, this session will showcase real-world applications of ECM modeling in patient treatment.

Dr. Karsdal will share key findings from his own research and collaborations, highlighting how the structure of healthy organs changes when affected by disease. By examining the balance between tissue formation and degradation, we gain crucial insights into the progression of chronic diseases. The common mechanisms of ECM turnover in the lungs, liver, heart, kidneys, skin, joints, and intestines also apply to solid tumors, making ECM modulation a critical factor in treatment strategies. With FDA letters of support emphasizing ECM biomarkers and turnover, this session will showcase compelling real-world examples of how controlling ECM remodeling can directly benefit patients.

Scientific topics

We prepared nine key topics of the most prominent ECM research of the past 25+ years that you can apply in today’s clinical research.

These topics will explore how ECM remodeling influences disease progression, the role of biomarkers in precision medicine, and the impact of targeted interventions across multiple chronic conditions.

Key topics

1. The central role of ECM remodeling in over 50 diseases

  • Diagnostic, prognostic and pharmacodynamic biomarkers of pathological remodeling of the basement membrane and interstitial ECM
  • Which pathologies are tissue formation or tissue destruction disorders?
  • How may we use that to improve clinical study design and patient segregation – Key lessons learn from 25 years of biomarker research

2. Collagen formation outperforms liver biopsies in predicting outcome

  • Collagen formation provides independent prognostic information in addition to the biopsies
  • The difference between disease status and activity

3. Linking human genetic mutations to skin diseases

  • Human genetic mutations linked to collagen type 6, 7 and 17 in systemic sclerocis (SSC), hidradenitis suppurutiva (HS), and atopic dermatitis (AD).

4. Doubling of response rates in solid tumors by serological assessment

  • Doubling of response rates in solid tumors by serological assessment of type 3,5,8,11 and 12 collagens
  • The myCAF collagens

5. The collagen hormone Endotrophin & the cardio-renal axis in the metabolic syndrome

  • Understanding the organ death trajectory in obesity/metabolic syndrome of the heart, kidney and liver
  • Endotrophin predicts outcome in CKD and HFpEF
  • Understanding fibroblast activities as the central common denominator for outcomes

6. Endotyping fibrostenosis with genetically validated biomarkers

  • Deconstructing IBD endotypes with human genetically validated biomarkers & biomarkers related to endoscopy scores and remission

7. Quantifying tissue destruction in auto-immune disorders

  • We need to stop tissue destruction to be efficacious and reach ACR100 scores

8. Respiratory diseases in COPD and IPF

  • Linking endotypes with disease trajectories that are treatable and actionable in drug development
  • Elastin and collagen degradation/formation are prognostic for exacerbations, decline of lung function and death

9. Identification of treatable and druggable endotypes in osteoarthritis

  • The difference between an illness and disease
  • Providing better drug development paths for selected treatments.

Dr. Morten Karsdal

  • Dr. Morten Karsdal joined Nordic Bioscience in 2001 and became CEO in June 2010, leading the company to significant advancements in biomarker development and disease biology.
  • Dr. Karsdal is a KOL in extracellular matrix research, with more than 700 publication and an impressive H-factor of 100.
  • Dr. Karsdal is an honorary professor of inflammation research at the University of Southern Denmark, where he continues to supervise PhD students, fostering the next generation of researchers.
  • Dr. Karsdal chairs the Extracellular Matrix Pharmacology Congress, an important forum for advancing drug development by focusing on the extracellular matrix (ECM) as a key factor in most chronic diseases. He is renowned for his deep expertise in fibrosis, rheumatology (including rheumatoid arthritis and osteoarthritis), diabetes, and other chronic conditions, particularly in relation to ECM and biomarker research.
  • Dr. Karsdal has led the development of FDA-approved and supported molecular diagnostics, as well as more than 100 commercialized biomarker assays, including ELISA assays and high precision automated platforms.
  • He has extensive experience in clinical trial design and the clinical application of biochemical markers, often serving as a consultant to major pharmaceutical companies for the use of serological biomarkers in clinical trials.
  • In 2016, he and his research team authored the first edition of “Biochemistry of Collagens, Laminins and Elastin,” published by Elsevier Science. The book, now in its 3rd edition as of 2023, is a key resource on collagens and structural proteins, with a focus on their applications in chronic diseases.

We are also excited to inform you about our upcoming in-person event, The Extracellular Matrix Pharmacology Congress, taking place in Copenhagen in June 2026. This congress will be a unique opportunity to gather with leading experts in the field and explore the latest advancements in extracellular matrix research and pharmacology.

Please stay tuned for updates as we prepare to bring you another engaging and educational webinar experience. Thank you for your patience, and we look forward to connecting with you soon!

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    Hot and Cold Fibrosis – A Novel Concept

    We recently published an open assess review, where we and our collaborators have investigated the novel concept of “hot” and “cold” fibrosis—published in the Journal of Hepatology.

    The novel concept of “hot” and “cold” fibrosis refers to the immune status within fibrotic tissues and the nature of fibrogenic signaling


    Fibrosis is a pathological condition characterized by excessive accumulation of extracellular matrix (ECM) components, particularly collagens, leading to tissue scarring and organ dysfunction. The concept of “hot” and “cold” fibrosis has recently emerged to help understanding the immune landscape within fibrotic tissues and how ECM and immune cell interactions could be new targets for future fibrosis treatment.

    This review provides a new angle of describing fibrosis as “hot” or “cold”, which refers to the immune status within fibrotic tissues and the nature of fibrogenic signaling. Whereas hot fibrosis is characterized by active immune cell infiltration and inflammation, cold fibrosis is associated with auto- and paracrine myofibroblast activation, immune cell exclusion and quiescence.

    We demonstrate that pharmacodynamic biomarkers reflecting ECM remodeling are promising tools to monitor fibrotic and inflammatory processes in hepatic diseases, allowing to identify disease profiles associated either with hot or cold fibrosis. This also enables tailored strategies—such as combining anti-fibrotic drugs with immune-stimulating therapies—to optimize treatment efficacy.

    Article: Hot and cold fibrosis: The role of serum biomarkers to assess immune mechanisms and ECM-cell interactions in human fibrosis

    September Is Pulmonary Fibrosis Awareness Month

    September is pulmonary fibrosis (PF) awareness month—a progressive lung disease that affects over 200,000 people in the United States alone. PF causes scarring of lung tissue, leading to severe breathing difficulties and reduced quality of life.

    Pulmonary fibrosis awareness month aims to raise awareness about the effects of this respiratory disease


    At Nordic Bioscience, we are dedicated to advancing the development of biomarkers that provide deeper insights into disease progression in pulmonary fibrosis.

    Together with our collaborators, we contributed to the Lancet publication: Cluster analysis of blood biomarkers to identify molecular patterns in pulmonary fibrosis: assessment of a multicentre, prospective, observational cohort with independent validation.

    This research represents a step forward in identifying endotypes that can help improve the monitoring of the disease and guided therapy, ultimately enhancing patient care.

    We hope our findings encourage continued research and collaboration, working together to make a lasting impact!

    ECM Biomarkers in Ulcerative Colitis

    Assessing disease burden and treatment response in ulcerative colitis (UC) remains challenging, often leading to treatment withdrawal and unresolved disease activity. These challenges highlight the need for better, non-invasive biomarkers to monitor disease activity and predict treatment outcomes.

    ECM biomarkers in ulcerative colitis

    In our recently published paper “Circulating Extracellular Matrix Products as Indicators of Disease Burden and Predictors of Disease Course in Ulcerative Colitis”, we identified C7M (MMP-9/13-degraded type VII collagen α1-chain), nordicPRO-C3™ (type III collagen formation), and PRO-C22 (turnover of type XXII collagen) as biomarkers of endoscopic disease severity and treatment response in UC.

    We found that a combination of nordicPRO-C3™ and PRO-C22 predicted endoscopic outcomes at week 24, while lower levels of C7M and the C3M/nordicPRO-C3™ ratio were associated with endoscopic response. Notably, this is the first time that MMP-mediated type VII collagen degradation has been linked to disease severity in UC, highlighting its potential role in epithelial damage and barrier dysfunction.

    These biomarkers provide a non-invasive means to assess transmural disease activity and disease extent, addressing a critical gap in disease burden monitoring. Incorporating these biomarkers into clinical practice could improve UC management by refining diagnostic accuracy for predicting endoscopic response prior to treatment adjustment.


    Article: Circulating Extracellular Matrix Products as Indicators of Disease Burden and Predictors of Disease Course in Ulcerative Colitis

    Blood-Based Biomarkers in Pulmonary Fibrosis

    Pulmonary fibrosis is a condition characterized by progressive lung scarring, resulting in a median survival of 3–5 years after diagnosis. However, the rate of lung function decline varies widely among patients with different aetiologies, posing substantial challenges in clinical management. 

    Pulmonary fibrosis is characterized by progressive lung scarring

    Currently, no cure exists for pulmonary fibrosis, and pirfenidone and nintedanib, approved for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis treatment, have partial effects in slowing disease progression and variable tolerability.

    This study aimed to classify patients with pulmonary fibrosis according to blood biomarkers to differentiate distinct disease patterns, known as endotypes.

    Our findings showed that blood biomarker clustering in pulmonary fibrosis identified three distinct blood biomarker signatures associated with lung function and prognosis, suggesting unique pulmonary fibrosis biomarker patterns. These findings support the presence of pulmonary fibrosis endotypes with the potential to guide targeted therapy development.

    Article: Cluster analysis of blood biomarkers to identify molecular patterns in pulmonary fibrosis: assessment of a multicentre, prospective, observational cohort with independent validation

    World Cancer Day 2025: Biomarker Solutions in Cancer

    Tuesday the 4th of February is World Cancer Day. At Nordic Bioscience, we are dedicated to developing biomarker solutions that provide valuable insights on cancer, enabling drug developers to improve cancer treatment options.

    World cancer day is an international awareness day for spreading knowledge about cancer


    In honor of this day, we would like to share a paper by our ontology team, which unveils a promising avenue for harnessing PRO-C12 as a non-invasive serum biomarker, enabling the quantification of type XII collagen fragments in cancer patients.

    With increased stiffness and remodeling often driving tumor growth and metastasis, the extracellular matrix (ECM) plays a crucial role in cancer progression.

    Produced by cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), type XII collagen is a key regulator of ECM organization, stabilizing type I collagen fibrils, contributing to ECM stiffening, and facilitating a pro-invasive tumor microenvironment (TME). In our study, we developed the PRO-C12 ELISA, a non-invasive tool to monitor type XII collagen fragments in serum that is related to ECM stiffening and CAF activity, providing critical insights into tumor biology and metastasis risk.

    By quantifying type XII collagen fragments in serum, clinicians and drug developers gain a powerful tool to non-invasively assess CAF-driven mechanisms. PRO-C12 is relevant for diverse cancer types and stages, paving the way for its integration into diagnostic workflows and clinical trials.

    Article: Type XII collagen is elevated in serum from patients with solid tumors: a non-invasive biomarker of activated fibroblasts

    Rheumatoid Awareness Day 2025: Biomarkers in Rheumatoid Arthritis

    Today is Rheumatoid Awareness Day, which we would like to honor by sharing one of our rheumatology teams’ publications from 2024.

    Rheumatoid Awareness Day aims to spread awareness about this chronic autoimmune disease


    Rheumatoid arthritis is a chronic autoimmune disease characterized by inflammation in multiple articular joints, causing pain, joint damage, and loss in joint function. Despite the successful development of disease-modifying therapies, the heterogeneity of RA means that a significant proportion of patients respond poorly to treatment. Utilizing personalized and predictive biomarkers can optimize treatment efficacy, safety, and cost.

    This study explored the link between type VI collagen breakdown and the effectiveness of Tocilizumab (toci), a drug used to treat rheumatoid arthritis (RA). By measuring a specific fragment of degraded type VI collagen (C6M), researchers found that toci treatment reduced C6M levels compared to placebo and that patients who responded well to TCZ showed a greater reduction in C6M. Additionally, lower initial decreases in C6M were associated with a lower likelihood of a good treatment response.

    These findings suggest that quantifying type VI collagen turnover could help predict which RA patients will benefit most from TCZ therapy, potentially leading to more personalized treatment approaches.

    Article: Changes in type VI collagen degradation reflect clinical response to treatment in rheumatoid arthritis patients treated with tocilizumab

    ECM Biomarkers Are Prognostic in Primary Cholangitis

    Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic liver disease that leads to a damage of the bile duct, inflammation and fibrosis.

    Fibrosis is a key histologic feature of immune-mediated liver diseases such as primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC)


    As there is a need for non-invasive biomarkers that can accurately assess the disease severity and prognosis, this study evaluated the ability of extracellular matrix remodeling markers to diagnose fibrosis stage and predict PSC-related fibrosis progression and clinical events.

    Our findings in this study showed that nordicPRO-C3™ correlated with fibrosis stage, and nordicPRO-C3™ and ELF score provided discrimination of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis and predicted PSC-related events and fibrosis progression. Therefore, nordicPRO-C3™ and ELF may be utilized for staging and can act as prognostic markers in PSC, contributing to improving current screening and treatment of immune-mediated liver diseases.

    Article: Serologic extracellular matrix remodeling markers are related to fibrosis stage and prognosis in a phase 2b trial of simtuzumab in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis

    Longitudinal Stability of Molecular Endotypes of Knee Osteoarthritis Patients

    There are more than 500 million people worldwide who are affected by osteoarthritis (OA) and left without effective treatment options. Despite significantly different etiologies, clinical trial designs for evaluation of novel treatments still do not typically involve patient selection based on pheno- or endotypic traits.

    Biochemical marker profiles of 226 tibiofemoral OA patients with longitudinally stable and unstable endotypes from IMI-APPROACH. Min-max normalized median biomarker measurements are shown for the six-month follow-up.


    This has likely contributed to the lack of approved disease-modifying OA drugs (DMOADs) and the high risk of unsuccessful intervention trials in the field.

    In recent years, various factors indicating diverse patient subpopulations of OA have been described, such as phenotypes driven by cartilage, metabolic syndrome, subchondral bone, inflammation, and trauma injury. However, their underlying pathobiological mechanisms have not been fully elucidated nor have they been validated by differential treatment response.

    In our recent publication we found that tissue turnover biomarkers can reliably identify knee OA endotypes across different OA populations, and these endotypes remain stable over time. This breakthrough takes us one step closer to developing a biomarker-based tool for prognostic enrichment in clinical trials, paving the way for more precise and effective OA treatments.

    Article: Longitudinal stability of molecular endotypes of knee osteoarthritis patients

    A Post hoc Analysis of the CANVAS Program

    In this paper from our cardiovascular research team the aim was to investigate type III collagen (COL III) turnover with the help of pharmacodynamic biomarkers in participants from the CANVAS Program.

    Type III collagen turnover is associated with cardiovascular outcomes


    The biomarkers of COL III formation (PRO-C3/nordicPRO-C3™) and COL III degradation fragments (C3M/nordicC3M™ and CTX-III/nordicCTX-III™) were assessed in baseline and year 3 plasma from patients enrolled in CANVAS, investigating the effect of canagliflozin in participants with type 2 diabetes. The clinical outcomes explored in this study were hospitalization for heart failure, cardiovascular death and all-cause mortality.

    The study showed that higher levels of nordicPRO-C3™ and C3M at baseline were associated with a greater incidence of all investigated outcomes, whereas levels of nordicCTX-III™ at baseline were not associated with any of the investigated outcomes.

    After treatment with canagliflozin, the levels of nordicPRO-C3™ decreased and levels of CTX-III increased. An increase from baseline to year 3 in nordicPRO-C3™ in the placebo arm was associated with an increased incidence of cardiovascular outcomes, and in all participants was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.

    Reflecting a shift in the dynamics of COL3 turnover after the treatment with canagliflozin, nordicPRO-C3™ and nordicCTX-III™ are promising pharmacodynamic tools. In future interventional trials, they can be used to monitor the impact of the canagliflozin treatment and possibly other sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors on tissue remodeling.

    Article: Association of type III collagen turnover with cardiovascular outcomes and impact with canagliflozin in the CANVAS Program: A post hoc analysis